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Colombia: Selected Issues Paper

by International Monetary Fund. West Dept.

Colombia has a strong fiscal framework that prescribes a prudent, albeit challenging, fiscal consolidation over the medium term. A number of changes have taken place over the past decade and a half to strengthen...


Ireland: First Post-Program Monitoring Discussions

by International Monetary Fund. Euro Dept.

KEY ISSUES The Irish economy is in the early stages of recovering from an exceptionally severe banking crisis. Following a smooth exit from the EU-IMF supported program, strong job creation and other indicators...


Bangladesh: Fourth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Perf

by International Monetary Fund. Asia Dept

KEY ISSUES Context: Economic activity was disrupted by political unrest and uncertainty in the run-up to the January 2014 general elections. However, macroeconomic stability was maintained and international...


Colombia: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; And Statement by the Executive Director for Colombia

by International Monetary Fund. West Dept.

KEY ISSUES Context. Colombia’s economic performance has been robust, underpinned by a very strong policy framework. Last year, real GDP grew by 4.3 percent, with low inflation. The country has a strong external...


Switzerland: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; And Statement by the Executive Director for Switzerland

by International Monetary Fund. Euro Dept.

KEY ISSUES The Swiss economy has regained momentum, but inflation remains close to zero. There has been no new foreign exchange intervention, but past safe haven inflows have not yet reversed despite improved...


People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; And Statement by the Exe

by International Monetary Fund. Asia Dept

KEY ISSUES Outlook and risks. The macroeconomic outlook is favorable. Growth has firmed, inflation has eased, and unemployment has remained low—trends that are expected to continue. The main risks relate to...


Republic of Korea: Financial System Stability Assessment

by International Monetary Fund. Department

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after...


Safe Havens, Feedback Loops, and Shock Propagation in Global Asset Prices

by Franziska Ohnsorge & Marcin Wolski

We create a network of bilateral correlations of changes in sovereign bond yields and individual bank equity price changes since 2000. We extract some stylized facts from this network of asset price correlations...


Luxembourg: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; And Statement by the Executive Director for Luxembourg

by International Monetary Fund. Euro Dept.

KEY ISSUES Context. With a strong policy framework, Luxembourg has weathered the crisis well, and the economy is rebounding. The fiscal position remains sound, and the large financial sector has been resilient....


European Productivity, Innovation and Competitiveness: The Case of Italy

by Andrew Tiffin

In Italy, price-based competitiveness measures are not always an accurate predictor of trade outcomes. This paper offers a more comprehensive assessment of Italian competitiveness, focusing on the role of innovation...


Smes' Access to Finance in the Euro Area: What Helps or Hampers?

by Mico Mrkaic & Bahar Öztürk

The monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area has been adversely affected by the recent crises. Using survey data on thousands of euro area firms, we study factors that affect the access to finance of...


Qatar: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; And Statement by the Executive Director for Qatar

by International Monetary Fund. Midd Dept.

KEY ISSUES Context. As the world’s largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), Qatar has turned into an important global financial investor, donor, and labor importer. Growth averaged 14 percent over...


Qatar: Selected Issues

by International Monetary Fund. Midd Dept.

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after...


Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe: The Pivotal Role of Italy and Spain, But Not Greece

by Brenda González-Hermosillo & Christian A Johnson

This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper...


China's Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Liberalization: Lessons from International Experiences

by Wei Liao & Sampawende J. -A. Tapsoba

China has been moving to a more market oriented financial system, which has implications for the monetary policy environment. The paper investigates the stability of the money demand function (MDF) in light...


The Role of Country Concentration in the International Portfolio Investment Positions for the European Union Members

by Iuliia Brushko & Yuko Hashimoto

This paper examines the international portfolio flows of European Union. Our analysis includes three dimensions: (1) the level of countries' portfolio investment concentration (those who invest evenly among...


Official Demand for U.S. Debt: Implications for U.S. Real Interest Rates

by Iryna Kaminska & Gabriele Zinna

By constructing and estimating a structural arbitrage-free model of demand pressures on US real rates, we find that recent purchases of US government debt securities by the Fed and foreign officials have significantly...


Republic of Korea: 2013 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of K

by International Monetary Fund. Asia Dept

KEY ISSUES Overview. Korea has experienced impressive growth since the 1970s, enabling it to escape the middle-income trap. However, this prosperity has been concentrated lately within the highly competitive...


Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

by Fabio Comelli

We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that took place...


Malaysia: Financial Sector Assessment Program Financial Sector Performance, Vulnerabilities and Derivatives-Technical Note

by International Monetary Fund. Department

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after...