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Austerity and Recovery in Ireland

Handbook of Commercial Policy

by Kyle Bagwell & Robert W. Staiger

Handbook of Commercial Policy explores three main topics that permeate the study of commercial policy. The first section presents a broad set of basic empirical facts regarding the pattern and evolution of commercial...


Modernizing China

by W. Raphael Lam & Markus, Mr. Rodlauer

China is at a critical juncture in its economic transformation as it tries to rebalance what is generally seen as an exhausted growth model. A unifying theme across the reforms that will deliver this transformation...


Handbook of Macroeconomics

by John B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig

Handbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological,...


International Macroeconomics for Business and Political Leaders

by John E. Marthinsen

International Macroeconomics for Business and Political Leaders explains the fundamentals of international macroeconomics in a very efficient and approachable text. It explores key macro concepts such as growth,...


Tax Capacity and Growth

by Vitor Gaspar & Laura Jaramillo

Is there a minimum tax to GDP ratio associated with a significant acceleration in the process of growth and development? We give an empirical answer to this question by investigating the existence of a tipping...


Political Institutions, State Building, and Tax Capacity

by Vitor Gaspar & Laura Jaramillo

An empirical finding by Gaspar, Jaramillo and Wingender (2016) shows that once countries cross a tax-to-GDP threshold of around 12¾ percent, real GDP per capita increases sharply and in a sustained manner over...


Minimum Wage as a Wage Policy Tool in Japan

by Giovanni, Mr. Ganelli & Chie, Ms. Aoyagi

Using prefectural data, we study the potential impact on wage dynamics of the planned minimum wage increase policy in Japan. Our main result is that stepping up minimum wage growth from 2 to the planned 3 percent...


Quantifying the Spillovers from China Rebalancing Using a Multi-Sector Ricardian Trade Model

by Rui Mano

This paper assesses the spillovers from different facets of China rebalancing using a calibrated Ricardian trade model that includes 41 economies, each consisting of 34 sectors. We find that China's move up...


Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra

by Szilard Benk & Tamas Csabafi

For US postwar data, the paper explains central consumption, labor, investment and output correlations and volatilities along with output growth persistence by including a human capital investment sector and...


When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold?

by Sohrab, Mr. Rafiq

This paper looks at the effects of a China slowdown on Emerging Market Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand) and Frontier Developing Economies (Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., and Vietnam) in ASEAN. The main finding...


Understanding DSGE models: Theory and Applications

by Celso Jose Costa Junior

While the theoretical development of DSGE models is not overly difficult to understand, practical application remains somewhat complex. The literature on this subject has some significant obscure points. This...


System Priors for Econometric Time Series

by Michal Andrle & Miroslav Plašil

The paper introduces "system priors", their use in Bayesian analysis of econometric time series, and provides a simple and illustrative application. System priors were devised by Andrle and Benes (2013) as a...


Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks

by Sylwia Nowak & Pratiti Chatterjee

Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These...


Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates

by João Tovar Jalles & Carlos, Mr. Mulas-Granados

We look at the effect of exchange rate regimes on fiscal discipline, taking into account the effect of underlying political conditions. We present a model where strong politics (defined as policymakers facing...


Non-Performing Loans in the ECCU

by Kimberly, Ms. Beaton & Alla, Mr. Myrvoda

This paper assesses the determinants of NPLs in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) and whether a deterioration in asset quality may result in negative feedback effects from the banking system to economic...


Economics of Planning Policies in China: Infrastructure, Location and Cities

by Wen-jie Wu

Fast urbanizing countries like China have experienced rapid - albeit geographically uneven - local and regional economic growth during the past few decades. Notwithstanding this development pattern, China has...


Prosperity without Growth: Foundations for the Economy of Tomorrow

by Tim Jackson

What can prosperity possibly mean in a world of environmental and social limits?

The publication of Prosperity without Growth was a landmark in the sustainability debate. Tim Jackson's piercing challenge to...


How to Better Measure Hedonic Residential Property Price Indexes

by Mick Silver

Hedonic regressions are used for property price index measurement to control for changes in the quality-mix of properties transacted. The paper consolidates the hedonic time dummy approach, characteristics approach,...


The Influence of Gender Budgeting in Indian States on Gender Inequality and Fiscal Spending

by Janet Gale, Ms. Stotsky & Asad, Mr. Zaman

This study investigates the effect of gender budgeting in India on gender inequality and fiscal spending. Gender budgeting is an approach to budgeting in which governments use fiscal policies and administration...