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Handbook of Macroeconomics

by John B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig

Handbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological,...


Understanding DSGE models: Theory and Applications

by Celso Jose Costa Junior

While the theoretical development of DSGE models is not overly difficult to understand, practical application remains somewhat complex. The literature on this subject has some significant obscure points. This...


Corporate Sector Vulnerabilities in Ireland

by Nir Klein

The paper uses both macro- and micro-level data to assess how has the financial health of the Irish non-financial corporate (NFC) sector changed in the post financial crisis period. The analysis suggests that...


Can Statistical Capacity Building Help Reduce Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries?

by Sampawende J, Mr. Tapsoba & Robert C, Mr. York

Few papers have attempted to assess the role of "capacity," especially in the area of macroeconomic statistics. Consequently, we make an attempt to advance this literature through the construction of a "statistical...


The Creation of Wealth and Poverty: Means and Ways

by Hassan Bougrine

There is a failure of governments to provide the citizens of developing countries with the necessary ingredients for growth and development. This can only be explained by their inability to secure the sources...


The Upside of Inequality: How Good Intentions Undermine the Middle Class

by Edward Conard

The scourge of America’s economy isn't the success of the 1 percent—quite the opposite. The real problem is the government’s well-meaning but misguided attempt to reduce the payoffs for success.

 

Four...


Prosperity for All

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2016, Middle East and Central Asia

by International Monetary Fund. Midd Dept.

This issue focuses on the ongoing adjustment to cheaper oil and subdued economic activity for oil-producing countries, as well as the weak and fragile recovery in the Caucasus and Central Asia region. It also...


The Role of Newly Industrialized Economies in Global Value Chains

by Dominik Boddin

In light of increased vertical specialization and the dominance of trade in intermediates rather than final goods, this paper seeks to raise awareness of the limitations of traditional trade measures on a gross...


Benefits and Costs of Corporate Debt Restructuring

by Jae Chung & Lev, Mr. Ratnovski

The paper offers a method to quantify benefits and costs of corporate debt restructuring, with an application to Korea. We suggest a "persistent ICR


Surprise, Surprise

by Nasha Maveé & Roberto, Mr. Perrelli

This paper investigates possible drivers of volatility in the South African rand since the onset of the global financial crisis. We assess the role played by local and international economic surprises, commodity...


Dominican Republic

by Svetlana, Ms. Cerovic & Jose Saboin

This paper examines the financial position of the key sectors of the Dominican Republic. It contributes to macroeconomic surveillance by identifying financial interlinkages and vulnerabilities through the balance...


Resolving China's Corporate Debt Problem

by Wojciech Maliszewski & Serkan, Mr. Arslanalp

Corporate credit growth in China has been excessive in recent years. This credit boom is related to the large increase in investment after the Global Financial Crisis. Investment efficiency has fallen and the...


Negative Interest Rates

by Rima Turk

Negative policy interest rates have prevailed for some years in Denmark and are a more recent development in Sweden. Among other potential side effects, negative rates could weaken banks' profitability by reducing...


The Blind Side of Public Debt Spikes

by Laura Jaramillo & Carlos, Mr. Mulas-Granados

What explains public debt spikes since the end of WWII? To answer this question, this paper identifies 179 debt spike episodes from 1945 to 2014 across advanced and developing countries. We find that debt spikes...


Assessing Liquidity Buffers in the Panamanian Banking Sector

by Andras Komaromi & Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov

This paper assesses the resilience of Panamanian banks to (i) a very severe short-term, and (ii) a significant long-lasting liquidity shock scenario. Short-term liquidity buffers are evaluated by approximating...


Estimating Potential Output in Chile

by Patrick Blagrave & Marika Santoro

Using a multivariate filter, we estimate potential growth rates in Chile's mining and non-mining sectors. Estimates for the mining sector incorporate information on copper prices, whereas estimates for non-mining...


Gone with the Wind

by Sebastian Acevedo, Mr. Mejia

This paper studies the economic costs of hurricanes in the Caribbean by constructing a novel dataset that combines a detailed record of tropical cyclones' characteristics with reported damages. I estimate the...


Challenges for Central Banking

by Luis I. Jacome H. & Yan, Mr. Carriere-Swallow

In the wake of the 2008-09 global financial crisis, central banking and monetary policy in many corners of the world came under intense pressure and entered unchartered waters. The breadth and scale of central...


Central Banking in Latin America

by Yan, Mr. Carriere-Swallow & Luis I. Jacome H.

Latin America's central banks have made substantial progress towards delivering an environment of price stability that is supportive of sustainable economic growth. We review these achievements, and discuss...