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Do Dynamic Provisions Enhance Bank Solvency and Reduce Credit Procyclicality? a Study of the Chilean Banking System

by Tatum Blaise Pua Blaise Pua Tan

Despite robust deposit growth, credit growth has been sluggish in the Philippines. We attribute this to legacy weaknesses in bank balance sheets, consumption-led economic growth, and relatively high net interest...


The Volatility Trap: Precautionary Saving, Investment, and Aggregate Risk

by Reda Cherif & Fuad Hasanov

We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving...


Quantifying Structural Subsidy Values for Systemically Important Financial Institutions

by Kenichi Ueda & Beatrice Weder Weder di di Mauro

Claimants to SIFIs receive transfers when governments are forced into bailouts. Ex ante, the bailout expectation lowers daily funding costs. This funding cost differential reflects both the structural level...


Dynamic Loan Loss Provisioning: Simulations on Effectiveness and Guide to Implementation

by Torsten Wezel & Jorge A. Chan A. Chan Lau

This simulation-based paper investigates the impact of different methods of dynamic provisioning on bank soundness and shows that this increasingly popular macroprudential tool can smooth provisioning costs...


Productivity Growth and Structural Reform in Bulgaria: Restarting the Convergence Engine

by Pritha Mitra & Cyril Pouvelle

Labor productivity levels in Bulgaria lag well behind that in the EU, weighing on the convergence process. Stronger productivity growth would allow Bulgaria to close the income gap with the EU average more quickly...


Interest Rate Rules, Endogenous Cycles, and Chaotic Dynamics in Open Economies

by Oana Luca & Nicola Spatafora

We examine determinants of, and interactions between, capital inflows, financial development, and domestic investment in developing countries during 2001-07, a period of surging global liquidity and low interest...


Determinants of Credit Growth and Interest Margins in the Philippines and Asia

by R. John John Irwin & Timothy C. C. Irwin

ROC and CAP analysis are alternative methods for evaluating a wide range of diagnostic systems, including assessments of credit risk. ROC analysis is widely used in many fields, but in finance CAP analysis is...


Foreign Banks and the Vienna Initiative: Turning Sinners Into Saints?

by Carlos Caceres & Anna Kochanova

This paper analyzes the linkages between governance quality and country stress events. It focuses on two types of events: fiscal and political stress events, for which two innovative stress indicators are introduced....


Surging Capital Flows to Emerging Asia: Facts, Impacts, and Responses

by Ravi Balakrishnan & Sylwia Nowak

Net capital flows to emerging Asia rebounded at a record pace following the global financial crisis, raising concerns about overheating and financial stability. This paper documents the size and composition...


The Effects of Government Spending Under Limited Capital Mobility

by Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. S. Yang

This paper studies the effects of government spending under limited international capital mobility, as featured by most developing countries. While external financing of government debt mitigates the crowding-out...


Niger: Request for a New Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility - Staff Report; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; an

by Iyabo Masha & Chanho Park

This study examines the degree of exchange rate pass through (EPRT) into producer and consumer prices in Maldives. ERPT to consumer prices is first estimated using a nonparametric approach. A recursive vector...


Appraising Credit Ratings: Does the Cap Fit Better Than the Roc?

by Marco Airaudo & Luis-Felipe Zanna

We present an extensive analysis of the consequences for global equilibrium determinacy in flexible-price open economies of implementing active interest rate rules, i.e., monetary rules where the nominal interest...


Capital Inflows, Financial Development, and Domestic Investment: Determinants and Inter-Relationships

by Maxwell Opoku-Afari & Shiv Dixit

This paper uses a set of routinely collected high-frequency data in low-income countries (LICs) to construct an aggregate and a comprehensive index of economic activity which could serve (i) as a measure of...


Tracking Short-Term Dynamics of Economic Activity in Low-Income Countries in the Absence of High-Frequency Gdp Data

by Michael Debabrata Debabrata Patra & Muneesh Kapur

This paper empirically evaluates the operational performance of the McCallum rule, the Taylor rule and hybrid rules in India over the period 1996-2011 using quarterly data, with a view to analytically informing...


Monetary Policy Transmission in the Gcc Countries

by Raphael A. A. Espinoza & Ananthakrishnan Prasad

The GCC countries maintain a policy of open capital accounts and a pegged (or nearly-pegged) exchange rate, thereby reducing their freedom to run an independent monetary policy. This paper shows, however, that...


Country Stress Events: Does Governance Matter?

by Shaun K. K. Roache

Shocks to aggregate activity in China have a significant and persistent short-run impact on the price of oil and some base metals. In contrast, shocks to apparent commodity-specific consumption (in part reflecting...


Poverty and the Policy Response to the Economic Crisis in Liberia: A Strategic Guide for the Institutionalization of National Health Accounts

by Quentin Wodon

Despite substantial progress towards peace, economic growth, and better governance since 2003, Liberia remains one of the poorest countries in the world. The objective of this study is twofold. First it is to...


Natural Law, Economics and the Common Good: Perspectives from Natural Law

by Samuel Gregg & Harold James

In the wake of the financial crisis of 2008 and ongoing debt-related troubles there have been widespread calls to put banking and economic activity on a secure ethical foundation, either by regulation or through...


The Economics of Biodiversity Conservation: Valuation in Tropical Forest Ecosystems

by K.N N Ninan

Economic valuation of biodiversity and ecosystem services is possibly the most powerful tool for halting the loss of biodiversity while maintaining incomes and livelihoods. Yet rarely have such approaches been...


Beyond the Global Crisis: Structural Adjustments and Regional Integration in Europe and Latin America

by Lionello F. F. Punzo, Carmem Aparecida Aparecida Feijo & Martin Puchet Puchet Anyul

The book aims at offering a comparative, multi-perspective analysis of the different, at times parallel, at times with varying degrees of interdependence, macroeconomic and structural adjustments in the two...