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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

by Nate Silver

"Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century."

—Rachel Maddow, author of Drift

Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted...


Windfall: The Booming Business of Global Warming

by McKenzie Funk

A fascinating investigation into how people around the globe are cashing in on a warming world

McKenzie Funk has spent the last six years reporting around the world on how we are preparing for a warmer planet....


The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting

by Alan Greenspan

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful...