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Unconventional Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates

by Tao Wu

This paper examines the transmission mechanism through which unconventional monetary policy affects long-term interest rates. I construct a real-time measure summarizing market projections of the magnitude and...


Financial Crises and the Composition of Cross-Border Lending

by Eugenio Cerutti & Galina Hale

We examine the composition and drivers of cross-border bank lending between 1995 and 2012, distinguishing between syndicated and non-syndicated loans. We show that on-balance sheet syndicated loan exposures...


Democratic Republic of the Congo : Financial System Stability Assessment

by International Monetary Fund. Department

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after...


Singapore : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Singapore

by International Monetary Fund. Asia Dept

KEY ISSUES Outlook and risks. Following an upturn in 2013, growth is expected to moderate somewhat during 2014-2015, narrowing the positive output gap. The impact of recovering demand in advanced economies is...


Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed?

by Erlend Nier & Tahsin Saadi Sedik

This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the...


Designing a Fiscal Framework for a Prospective Commodity Producer: Options for Lebanon

by Mariusz Jarmuzek & Diego Mesa Puyo

Lebanon is expected to have gas resources in its Mediterranean basin, and these could turn the country into a natural gas producer over the next decade. Lebanon's economy and institutions will thus need to adapt...


Official Financial Flows, Capital Mobility, and Global Imbalances

by Tamim Bayoumi & Joseph E. Gagnon

We use a cross-country panel framework to analyze the effect of net official flows (chiefly foreign exchange intervention) on current accounts. We find that net official flows have a large but plausible effect...


The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia : Selected Issues Paper

by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after...


Cyprus : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Cyprus

by International Monetary Fund. Euro Dept.

KEY ISSUES Background: The large imbalances that accumulated prior to the global financial crisis culminated in a collapse of the banking sector in early 2013. In response, the authorities took unprecedented...


A Model-Based Analysis of Spillovers : The Case of Poland and the Euro Area

by Michal Andrle & Roberto Garcia-Saltos

This paper studies economic and financial spillovers from the euro area to Poland in a two-country semi-structural model. The model incorporates various channels of macrofinancial linkages and cross-border spillovers....


Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle

by Marzie Taheri Sanjani

This paper estimates a New Keynesian DSGE model with an explicit financial intermediary sector. Having measures of financial stress, such as the spread between lending and borrowing, enables the model to capture...


Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk

by Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez

We quantify gains from introducing non-defaultable debt as a limited additional financing option into a model of equilibrium sovereign risk. We find that, for an initial (defaultable) sovereign debt level equal...


Kenya : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Kenya

by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

KEY ISSUES Context: Kenya has embarked on major reforms in line with the 2010 constitution. The new government has started the process of devolution at a fast pace, introducing a reporting framework that allows...


Global Risks and Collective Action Failures: What Can the International Community Do?

by Inci Otker-Robe

Abstract What do climate change, global financial crises, pandemics, and fragility and conflict have in common? They are all examples of global risks that can cross geographical and generational boundaries and...


Portugal : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation

by International Monetary Fund. Fisc Dept.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Portugal�s practices meet most of the principles of the revised Fiscal Transparency Code at good or advanced levels. A number of areas still present practices at a basic level, but in...


Are Non-Euro Area EU Countries Importing Low Inflation from the Euro Area?

by Plamen Iossifov & Jiri Podpiera

The synchronized disinflation across Europe since end-2011 raises the question of whether non-euro area EU countries are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this...


Minimum Wages and Firm Employment : Evidence from China

by Yi Huang & Prakash Loungani

This paper provides the first systematic study of how minimum wage policies in China affect firm employment over the 2000-2007 periods. Using a novel dataset of minimum wage regulations across more than 2,800...


Regulating Capital Flows at Both Ends: Does it Work?

by Atish R. Ghosh & Mahvash Saeed Qureshi

This paper examines whether cross-border capital flows can be regulated by imposing capital account restrictions (CARs) in both source and recipient countries, as was originally advocated by John Maynard Keynes...


The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Th

by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

KEY ISSUES Context: Ethiopia�s investment-led development strategy has delivered robust growth and progress toward Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Restrained fiscal and monetary policies have helped...


Determinants of Financial Market Spillovers: The Role of Portfolio Diversification, Trade, Home Bias, and Concentration

by Yoko Shinagawa

This paper defines financial market spillovers as the comovement between two countries? financial markets and analyzes financial market spillovers over the period 2001-12 through four channels: bilateral portfolio...