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Finance & Development, September 2014

by International Monetary Fund. Exte Dept.

For the latest thinking about the international financial system, monetary policy, economic development, poverty reduction, and other critical issues, subscribe to Finance & Development (F&D). This lively quarterly...


The Great Rebalancing: Trade, Conflict, and the Perilous Road Ahead for the World Economy

by Michael Pettis

China’s economic growth is sputtering, the Euro is under threat, and the United States is combating serious trade disadvantages. Another Great Depression? Not quite. Noted economist and China expert Michael...


Tourism in China: Destination, Cultures and Communities

by Chris Ryan & Gu Huimin

China is forecast to be the primary tourist destination and tourist-generating country by 2020. However, much of the writing on tourism in China has come from people within the English academic world who are...


Business Insights: China: Practical Advice on Operational Strategy and Risk Management

by Jonathan Reuvid

Practical advice and case studies for international companies looking to initiate or expand their business activities in China. Business Insights: China includes real-world examples of corporate successes and...


Kingdom of Swaziland : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; and Press Release

by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

KEY ISSUES Setting: Swaziland has gradually recovered from the fiscal crisis of 2010-11, buoyed by the improved revenues from the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). Growth modestly recovered, and international...


After the Boom-Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

by Bertrand Gruss

After skyrocketing over the past decade, commodity prices have remained stable or eased somewhat since mid-2011—and most projections suggest they are not likely to resume the upward trend observed in the last...


Global Imbalances and External Adjustment after the Crisis

by Philip R. Lane & Gian-Maria Milesi-Ferretti

This paper has two objectives. First, it reviews the recent dynamics of global imbalances (both “flow” and “stock” imbalances), with a special focus on the shifting position of Latin America in the global...


Credit Quality in Developing Economies : Remittances to the Rescue?

by Christian Ebeke & Boileau Loko

This paper analyzes the link between remittances inflows and nonperforming loans (NPLs) in a large sample of developing countries. Theoretical transmission channels include risk coping, exchange rate and growth...


Tonga : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Tonga

by International Monetary Fund. Asia Dept

KEY ISSUES Context: Tonga’s economy is rebounding, partially owing to a recovery in agricultural exports. The outlook for tourism is also improving. The reconstruction from a recent cyclone is expected to...


Middle East Transitions : A Long, Hard Road

by Shahid Yusuf

Since the onset of the Arab Spring, economic uncertainty in Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, and Yemen (Arab Countries in Transition, ACTs) has slowed already sluggish growth; worsened unemployment, particularly...


Republic of Kazakhstan : 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release

by International Monetary Fund. Midd Dept.

KEY ISSUES Context: Solid growth in recent years, supported by high oil prices and output, has boosted living standards. This year, the economy is slowing down, in large part because of weaker domestic and external...


Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: 2014 Article IV Consultation and Third Post-Program Monitoring Discussions :  Staff Report; Press Release; and

by International Monetary Fund. Euro Dept.

Growth accelerated to 3.1 percent in 2013, driven by a positive net exports contribution. The broad policy direction is supportive of near term macroeconomic stability. The key challenge is to transition from...


Japan :  2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; and Press Release

by International Monetary Fund. Asia Dept

KEY ISSUES Abenomics is gaining traction, but progress across the three arrows has been uneven and medium-term risks remain substantial. Inflation has risen, a consumption tax increase has been implemented,...


Morocco : Request for An Arrangement Under the Precautionary and Liquidity Line and Cancellation of the Current Arrangement-Staff Report; Press Releas

by International Monetary Fund. Midd Dept.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Morocco’s economic track record was challenged in recent years by a series of exogenous shocks, to which the authorities responded vigorously. Facing a difficult international environment,...


Capital Flow Deflection

by Paolo Giordani & Michele Ruta

This paper focuses on the coordination problem among borrowing countries imposing controls on capital infl ows. In a simple model of capital flows and controls, we show that inflow restrictions distort international...


Guinea : Fourth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility, and Financing Assurances Review-Staff Report; Press Releas

by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Economic activity remained weak in early 2014. Activity was impacted by an outbreak of the Ebola virus since late 2013, but lagging structural reforms, energy shortages, and political uncertainty...


United Republic of Tanzania :  Request for a Three-Year Policy Support Instrument-Staff Report; and Press Release

by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

KEY ISSUES Economic background and outlook. Tanzania has enjoyed strong and stable growth, projected to remain at 7 percent next year and in the medium term. Inflation is at 6 percent, gradually converging to...


Japan's Corporate Income Tax : Facts, Issues and Reform Options

by Ruud A. de Mooij & Ikuo Saito

This paper explores how corporate income tax reform can help Japan increase investment and boost potential growth. Using international and Japan-specific empirical estimates of corporate tax elasticities, investment...


This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs. The Climate

by Naomi Klein

The most important book yet from the author of the international bestseller The Shock Doctrine, a brilliant explanation of why the climate crisis challenges us to abandon the core “free market” ideology...


The Political Economy of Sovereign Default

by Sebastian Hohmann

What do self-interested governments’ needs to maintain loyal groups of supporters imply for sovereign incentives to repay debt? Many sovereign defaults have occurred at relatively low levels of debt, while...