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Tower of Basel: The Shadowy History of the Secret Bank that Runs the World

by Adam LeBor

Tower of Basel is the first investigative history of the world’s most secretive global financial institution. Based on extensive archival research in Switzerland, Britain, and the United States, and in-depth...


Macroeconomic Foundations of Macroeconomics

by Alvaro Cencini

Contrary to common belief, macroeconomics is not merely a theory of aggregates, and cannot be constructed from individual behaviour. Both nationally and internationally, there are economic laws that are logically...


Public Employment and Compensation Reform During Times of Fiscal Consolidation

by Lorenzo Forni & Natalija Novta

This paper compiles and compares recent and past measures introduced to contain the public wage bill in a number of emerging and advanced economies to assess their effectiveness in bringing down expenditure...


The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Banking Globalization

by Stijn Claessens & Neeltje van Horen

Although cross-border bank lending has fallen sharply since the crisis, extending our bank ownership database from 1995-2009 up to 2013 shows only limited retrenchment in foreign bank presence. While banks from...


Unconventional Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates

by Tao Wu

This paper examines the transmission mechanism through which unconventional monetary policy affects long-term interest rates. I construct a real-time measure summarizing market projections of the magnitude and...


Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed?

by Erlend Nier & Tahsin Saadi Sedik

This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the...


Designing a Fiscal Framework for a Prospective Commodity Producer: Options for Lebanon

by Mariusz Jarmuzek & Diego Mesa Puyo

Lebanon is expected to have gas resources in its Mediterranean basin, and these could turn the country into a natural gas producer over the next decade. Lebanon's economy and institutions will thus need to adapt...


Official Financial Flows, Capital Mobility, and Global Imbalances

by Tamim Bayoumi & Joseph E. Gagnon

We use a cross-country panel framework to analyze the effect of net official flows (chiefly foreign exchange intervention) on current accounts. We find that net official flows have a large but plausible effect...


Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle

by Marzie Taheri Sanjani

This paper estimates a New Keynesian DSGE model with an explicit financial intermediary sector. Having measures of financial stress, such as the spread between lending and borrowing, enables the model to capture...


Global Risks and Collective Action Failures: What Can the International Community Do?

by Inci Otker-Robe

Abstract What do climate change, global financial crises, pandemics, and fragility and conflict have in common? They are all examples of global risks that can cross geographical and generational boundaries and...


Regulating Capital Flows at Both Ends: Does it Work?

by Atish R. Ghosh & Mahvash Saeed Qureshi

This paper examines whether cross-border capital flows can be regulated by imposing capital account restrictions (CARs) in both source and recipient countries, as was originally advocated by John Maynard Keynes...


Determinants of Financial Market Spillovers: The Role of Portfolio Diversification, Trade, Home Bias, and Concentration

by Yoko Shinagawa

This paper defines financial market spillovers as the comovement between two countries? financial markets and analyzes financial market spillovers over the period 2001-12 through four channels: bilateral portfolio...


Unraveling the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Sri Lanka

by Manuk Ghazanchyan

In this paper we examine the channels through which innovations to policy variables- policy rates or monetary aggregates-affect such macroeconomic variables as output and inflation in Sri Lanka. The effectiveness...


Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, October 2014

by International Monetary Fund. Midd Dept.

This issue discusses economic developments in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP), which continue to reflect the diversity of conditions prevailing across the region. Most high-income...


The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging: Supply Constraints and Intra-Group Frictions

by Eugenio Cerutti & Stijn Claessens

International banks greatly reduced their direct cross-border and local affiliates' lending as the global financial crisis strained balance sheets, lowered borrower demand, and changed government policies. Using...


Soaring of the Gulf Falcons: Diversification in the GCC Oil Exporters in Seven Propositions

by Reda Cherif & Fuad Hasanov

A key priority for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries is to create a dynamic non-oil tradable sector to support sustainable growth. Since export diversification takes a long time, it has to start now....


A Constrained Choice? Impact of Concessionality Requirements on Borrowing Behavior

by Calixte Ahokpossi & Laurence Allain

This paper uses the propensity matching score approach to assess the impact of the IMF's debt limits policy (DLP) on borrowing behavior in countries eligible to borrow from its concessional lending window. The...


Does the Clarity of Inflation Reports Affect Volatility in Financial Markets?

by Ales Bulir & Martin Cihák

We study whether clarity of central bank inflation reports affects return volatility in financial markets. We measure clarity of reports by the Czech National Bank, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England,...


Reforming the Corporate Governance of Italian Banks

by Nadège Jassaud

Sound corporate governance is essential for a well-functioning banking system and the integrity of financial markets. The paper discusses the corporate governance of Italian banks, its regulatory framework,...


Simulating Distributional Impacts of Macro-dynamics: Theory and Practical Applications

by Sergio Olivieri & Sergiy Radyakin

Simulating Distributional Impacts of Macro-dynamics: Theory and Practical Applications is a comprehensive guide for analyzing and understanding the effects of macroeconomic shocks on income and consumption distribution,...