Dan Gardner

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Future Babble: Why Pundits Are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best

by Dan Gardner

An award-winning journalist uses landmark research to debunk the whole expert prediction industry, and explores the psychology of our obsession with future history.

In 2008, experts predicted gas would hit...


Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

by Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner

New York Times Bestseller

An Economist Best Book of 2015

"The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."

Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal

 

Everyone...